Tropical Storm Isaias Forecast Advisory Number 22

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Issued at 1500 UTC SUN AUG 02 2020


535
WTNT24 KNHC 021450
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM ISAIAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092020
1500 UTC SUN AUG 02 2020

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST
FROM NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING SOUTH OF JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND FOR
LAKE OKEECHOBEE HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

THE STORM SURGE WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JUPITER INLET FLORIDA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SURF CITY TO DUCK NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST OF THE UNITED
STATES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISAIAS. ADDITIONAL WATCHES
OR WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 79.6W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT 7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......100NE 80SE 0SW 60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 30SW 75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N 79.6W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N 79.5W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 28.0N 80.1W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 30SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 29.6N 80.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 32.2N 79.8W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 35.7N 77.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 30SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 40.1N 74.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 44.6N 70.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 110SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 51.7N 63.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N 79.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT34 KNHC/MIATCPAT4...AT 02/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

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