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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Oct 26 2022
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Northwestern Atlantic:
Shower and thunderstorm activity remains limited in association with
an area of low pressure located about 300 miles north of Bermuda.
The system is accelerating northward towards cooler waters and into
an area of strong upper-level winds, and development is no longer
anticipated.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.
2. Southwestern Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure stretching from the central Caribbean
northward to the southwestern Atlantic continues to produce a broad
area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some gradual subtropical development
of this system over the next few days while it drifts
north-northeastward. The system is then forecast to meander over the
subtropical western Atlantic to the west or southwest of Bermuda.
Upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for
development by the end of the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
3. Eastern Caribbean:
An area of low pressure could form over the eastern Caribbean Sea by
early this weekend. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for gradual development as the low moves generally
westward or west-northwestward into the central Caribbean by the end
of the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.
Forecaster Papin
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