Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias Forecast Discussion Number 33

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Issued at 500 AM EDT Wed Aug 05 2020


000
WTNT44 KNHC 050838
TCDAT4

Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias Discussion Number 33
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020
500 AM EDT Wed Aug 05 2020

Surface observations indicate that Isaias continues to gradually
weaken over southeastern Quebec. There have been a couple of
observing sites with marine exposure along the St. Lawrence River
that have reported winds of around 35 kt within the past few
hours. Therefore, the initial intensity is set at that value for
this advisory. The post-tropical cyclone should continue to
weaken today, and the system is expected to be absorbed by a larger
extratropical low over eastern Canada on Thursday.

The cyclone has begun to decelerate and is now moving 015/24 kt.
The post-tropical cyclone should continue on a general
north-northeastward motion with an additional decrease in forward
speed over the next 12-24 hours. The updated NHC track forecast is
similar to previous advisory and is near the middle of the tightly
clustered dynamical model guidance.

This is the last NHC advisory on Isaias. Additional information
on the post-tropical cyclone can be found in products issued by
the Canadian Hurricane Center at:


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 05/0900Z 47.5N 71.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 05/1800Z 50.7N 70.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
24H 06/0600Z 53.3N 69.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
36H 06/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown

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