000
ABNT20 KNHC 292343
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Oct 29 2022
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Caribbean:
A broad area of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea
continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual
development over the next few days, and a tropical depression is
likely to form by early next week while the disturbance moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central Caribbean Sea.
NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft are scheduled
to investigate the disturbance on Sunday, if necessary. Regardless
of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of
the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican
Republic, and Haiti through this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Western Atlantic:
A low pressure area located about 70 miles west-northwest of
Bermuda is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity to
the northeast of the center as it continues to interact with a
nearby frontal system. Upper-level winds are increasing over the
system, and the low is forecast to merge with the front by early
Sunday as it moves generally eastward. Therefore, the chances of
subtropical development of this system appear to be decreasing.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Beven
More...
ABNT20 KNHC 292343
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Oct 29 2022
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Central Caribbean:
A broad area of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea
continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual
development over the next few days, and a tropical depression is
likely to form by early next week while the disturbance moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central Caribbean Sea.
NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft are scheduled
to investigate the disturbance on Sunday, if necessary. Regardless
of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of
the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican
Republic, and Haiti through this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Western Atlantic:
A low pressure area located about 70 miles west-northwest of
Bermuda is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity to
the northeast of the center as it continues to interact with a
nearby frontal system. Upper-level winds are increasing over the
system, and the low is forecast to merge with the front by early
Sunday as it moves generally eastward. Therefore, the chances of
subtropical development of this system appear to be decreasing.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Beven
More...